FPL Punts of the Week - Gameweek 13
Posted by FFPundits
2:06pm Nov 23 2017
The three M’s from Liverpool, Manchester United and Leicester City feature in @FPL_Connect’s Punts of the Week
Hello Fantasy Premier League managers and welcome back to my weekly Punts of the Week article for the Fantasy Football Pundits, where I, @FPL_Connect will look to tease you with THREE cheeky differentials under 5% ownership.
Now, some of you may have seen @FFPundits call me a “show off” several times on Twitter this week – well, this is because in my Gameweek 12 edition of Punts of the Week I heavily promoted the return of Paul Pogba.
Now owned by 13.9% of FPL bosses at the time of writing, Pogba is back on the radar of any sane and active FPL manager, with over 270,000 transfers in already this week.
Anyway, I’ve had my moment, so let’s see if I can bring you another golden nugget in my Gameweek 13 Punts of the Week.
Riyad Mahrez vs. West Ham [4.7% | £8.4m]
The Algerian winger featured in one of these instalments a few weeks back and duly delivered and after scouring the fixtures and ownership percentages once more, he’s back once again.
He’s still only 4.5% owned, even after his impressive recent form that has seen him score 2 goals and bag 3 assists in the last 5 gameweeks.
He blanked last time out, but it was against the best team in the Premier League right now and arguably Europe, in Pep’s free-scoring City.
He had precious few moments to have a go at the City back-line, as they managed to keep 75% of the possession in the game, but when he did, he nearly forced Kompany to put an own goal in past his keeper with a nice piece of skill that saw him hit the byline and whip a wicked low cross in.
So he’s still looking dangerous when he gets the opportunity and this gameweek’s fixture should see him get plenty of opportunity to go at the back-line in the form of West Ham.
Only Everton (16) have conceded more big chances over the last 4 gameweeks than West Ham, who have conceded 12 themselves and they are the worst team over the last 4 gameweeks for conceding shots inside the box.
Leicester’s overall attacking stats don’t look too great in the main over the 4 gameweeks, with them being fairly low down for goal attempts and big chances created, but one stat they are doing well in over that period, is goal conversion rate, where they are the joint 4th best in the league, converting 16.7% of their chances.
Given the current poor state of West Ham’s defensive abilities, Leicester look good for a goal or two here – add Riyad’s impressive recent form to that and you get a lovely recipe for some attacking returns á la FPL.
Anthony Martial vs. Brighton [2.6% | £8.0m]
Embed from Getty ImagesMartial has looked scintillating at times this season and it’s been a real shame that he hasn’t been able to solidify a concrete place in the starting 11, but I suspect it’s more down to the fact United have so many strong options this year, rather than him not being good enough to deserve a spot in the starting 11.
Some may say his game time isn’t enough to warrant any consideration and normally I’d agree however, Martial could be an exception.
To put things into perspective, David Silva is £0.4m more expensive and has been on the pitch nearly 3 times longer (1052 minutes) than Martial (371 minutes) yet has only scored 20-points less than him, with Silva on 67 and Martial on 47.
With 2 goals in his 3 gameweeks and Pogba, who we tipped in last week’s edition, now back in the team pulling the strings, Martial could be on course to continue his recent form this weekend and beyond, where they only face 2 of last year’s top 6 teams in the next 12 gameweeks.
Brighton go to Old Trafford on the weekend and whilst they have been solid defensively away from home, only conceding 7 big chances, only Manchester City have created more big chances at home than Man United, who have created 21 big chances.
Martial represents a fair outlay, with him currently being priced at £8.0m, but he is only owned by 2.6% and if you can nail a purple patch of his, it could really give you a boost up the ranks.
Sadio Mané vs. Chelsea [£9.3m | 7.4%]
Embed from Getty ImagesLike last time out, this selection is a little bit of a cheat, as he’s technically owned by 7.4% of overall FPL managers, but again, I’m betting a heavy percentage of those owners are dead/ghost teams, so I’ve been given the green light on it by Mr FFPundits.
Mané hasn’t taken long to get back to it, with 1 goal 3 assists in his last 3 games all competitions since coming back from injury.
In his two Premier League games since coming back from injury, he’s had 9 penalty area touches, 5 goal attempts (4 inside the box) and has created 5 chances.
Not hugely explosive, but those stats are decent and are likely him at 75% – imagine what they’ll be like at 100%.
Not only that, but he hit Sevilla for a goal and an assist last night in Liverpool’s 3-0 collapse.
So, if he isn’t now already at 100%, he mustn’t be far off it and with some amazing fixtures on the horizon, he’s looking like someone who might be able to rival Salah once he hits full gear, or alternatively, compliment him nicely.
Chelsea is a tough fixture to bring him in for, granted, but they’ve hardly been solid defensively this year and Liverpool possess the attacking talent to break them down, as well as the best ‘minutes per chance’ ratio of any Premier League team at home, with them creating a chance every 4.3 minutes.
The tough upcoming fixture, on paper, might just be the cover you need to get in on Mané before your rivals do, as there’s no reason why he can’t return this weekend, then you’re set with him ahead of a gorgeous run of fixtures.
At what I’m betting is a live ownership % of under 5%, Mané looks a strong choice for those looking to differ from their rivals.
BEFORE YOU GO: The Gameweek 13 contests over at Starting 11 for this Saturday and Sunday are now live. If you’ve yet to play and experience daily fantasy football, come and play for free against the Fantasy Football Pundits this week via the Starting 11 iOS or Android app links below.