FPL Punts of the Week - Gameweek 19
Posted by FFPundits
8:08pm Dec 21 2017
Shrewd moves from Manchester United, Southampton and Chelsea are on offer for FPL Gameweek 19
Yet another one of our weekly writers has had a busy old week Christmas shopping and polishing his baubles, but @FPL_Connect is finally back ahead of the Gameweek 19 deadline with his Punts of the Week picks.
This week, Simon from FPLConnect.blog has decided to opt for 3 extremely cheeky punts to tempt you with this Christmas, but with each pick comes his analysis and personal opinion about why they should be considered.
Simon has asked me to pass on his best wishes to you all for the Christmas period – he would have done it himself, but he’s away to stuff his bird and put the finishing touches to his pigs in blankets recipe, ready for Christmas Day.
Pedro vs. Everton (A)
I’ve gone with Pedro this week as something of an opportunist strike, in light of Morata’s suspension as a result of last night’s Carabao Cup game, after he dedicated his goal to his pregnant wife by putting the ball under his shirt – deemed a yellow card by the referee.
With Morata suspended for their trip to Everton, Conte will likely roll out Hazard in the false-9 position with Pedro and Willian operating either side of him once again.
Pedro hasn’t set the world alight this year when he’s played, but he has pedigree with 9 goals and 10 assists last season having only played 2,140 minutes out of a total possible 3,420 minutes.
This season he has 3 goals and 2 assists in total, with 3 goals and 1 of those assists coming in the 8 games he’s started, which isn’t a bad return for his price.
He scored a beautifully curled shot into the top corner in the 3-1 away win at Huddersfield, which demonstrates the quality of his finishing when he gets a chance.
Everton have seen an up-turn in fortune since big Sam has taken over, with 4 wins and 1 draw coming in their last 5 games, but this will be a much sterner test of their capabilities with the Hazard et al. coming to town.
I expect the movement of Hazard, Willian and Pedro to be too much for them and I can see creating chances.
When Hazard operates as the false 9, his prime objective becomes creating rather than scoring and with him being the player that the Everton defence will likely man-mark, that will leave the space for Pedro and Willian to do the damage.
It’s a short-term punt for sure, but with Morata out for this game and then two lovely home games next, it could be one that pays off with such a low ownership.
Jesse Lingard vs Leicester City (A)
With Mkhitaryan firmly out of favour with Jose Mourinho, Jesse Lingard has come in and well and truly taken his chance.
He’s started the last 5 games for United and in that time, has scored 4 goals and notched an assist, as well as 8 bonus points.
Operating behind Lukaku, Lingard is the one that makes the runs in behind to stretch defences, with Mata on the right drifting inside as the playmaker.
In the last 6 gameweeks, Lingard has registered 10 goal attempts, with 8 coming inside the area and has had 18 penalty area touches.
He’s received 4 big chances and taken all 4 of them and has also created 8 chances for his teammates.
The overall underlying stats aren’t overly impressive, but he’s taking his chances and for £6.0m, having a regularly playing Manchester United player, playing behind the striker is rare.
United also have a great run of fixtures too and with Watford seemingly looking to be having a bit of a stumble of late, it could be an ideal swap for Richarlison, who has 2 assists and 0 goals in the last 6 gameweeks.
Time to jump ship?
Charlie Austin vs. Huddersfield (H)
We’ve been crying out for a while for a decent lower-priced 3rd forward and Austin has answered our calls.
In his last 4 starts in the Premier League, Austin has 4 goals.
In the last 6 gameweeks, Austin is the joint 4th highest forward for goal attempts and is ranked 2nd on the forward list for big chances received (6), with Lacazette and Rooney being joint first on 7.
Also in that time, Huddersfield have conceded (13) the second most amount of goals to Stoke (15) and are second for big chances conceded (15) to Stoke (20).
He’s a natural goalscorer and his stats have always backed that up – he scored 18 goals for QPR in the 2014/15 season.
Pellegrino’s taken a while to come around to it, but he’s finally giving him the game time and is reaping the rewards.
Austin was benched for the Chelsea game to favour Gabbiadini’s high-pressing, but with the scoring form he’s in, he should be back for the Huddersfield game.
I think this is a brilliant game for Charlie to bang in and even with difficult fixtures on the near horizon, I think he can be that 3rd forward that we’ve been craving with him being on penalties and having that natural goal-scoring instinct.
With the premium forwards not providing the value in relation to the midfielders, can Austin be the enabler to fund a power 5 midfield?
STOP RIGHT THERE: Be sure to join myself, FPLTips and Fantasy Football Pundits this Christmas on Starting 11 for some daily fantasy football action over the festive period.
It’s a FREE to play daily game without any player values or team budgets – simply pick YOUR best Gameweek 19 11-man-team and watch out for some Christmas goodies and cool prizes.
Thank you for reading ‘FPL Punts of the Week – Gameweek 19′ which was written by @FPL_Connect