FPL and Daily Fantasy Punts of the Week - Gameweek 5
Posted by @FFPundits_Drew
11:06am Sep 13 2018
Looking to treat yourself to an FPL or Daily Fantasy differential in Gameweek 5? @FFPundits_Drew is on hand with four tasty options to consider
We entered a sombre international break perplexed by the rules of the Nations League, only to find ourselves in another international competition we can’t win. Football may not being coming home, but after two long weeks – fantasy football is returning!
After spending the International Break tinkering with my FPL Wildcard, it’s safe to say I have probably gone through every differential available – trying to squeeze them in alongside the likes of Mo Salah and Marcos Alonso.
Who has caught my eye enough to make it into our Punts of the Week article? Well, I, @FFPundits_Drew, look to provide you all with four differential picks for the weekend’s Fantasy Premier League and Daily Fantasy Starting 11’s Gameweek 5 action.
For all you Fantasy Premier League managers out there, as well as those of you who play Starting 11 daily fantasy with us each week – I hope this week’s Punts give you plenty of food for thought when locking in your FPL lineups and/or daily fantasy lineups.
Romelu Lukaku vs Watford (A)
As a Manchester United fan, I tend to try and stay clear of their players where possible – largely down to Jose Mourinho’s negative tactics.
Lately, however, I have had to strongly consider breaking that trend as Romelu Lukaku has tempted me into offering him a place in my FPL Wildcard team – he is certainly an option for my Starting 11 team this weekend also, with 8pts per goal up for grabs. [you can view the Starting 11 scoring matrix here]
With no competition for him up front, as the likes of Rashford, Martial and Sanchez are preferred in wider positions, Lukaku is integral to Mouhino’s tactics – the spearhead of the Manchester United attack.
During his last two Premier League games, Lukaku has taken the most shots in the box (10), the most shots on target (6) and has had the most big chances (4) – scoring twice against Burnley and unlucky not to do so against Tottenham in Gameweek 3.
Add a few more goals whilst playing for Belgium over the International Break and you have a striker in good form, with a favourable fixture run – I know, I can barely believe it myself.
This weekend’s opponents Watford may be this seasons surprise package so far, with four wins from their opening four games – however, they have kept only 1 clean sheet during that time, which came in their opening game of the season versus Brighton.
Despite my trust issues with him, I feel Lukaku has to be on your list if you are looking for a differential (7.8% ownership) in your FPL Wildcard or Starting 11 lineup.
Patrick van Aanholt vs Huddersfield (A)
Well, this hasn’t been the start to the season we expected from PVA, has it fantasy bosses? Yes, he recorded a clean sheet and assist during Gameweek 1 – but where is the attacking full back we were expecting to see?
In the last 6 games of last season, PVA was spending most of his time within his opponent’s half and boy was he was on fire – finding himself 1 on 1 with the goalkeeper on several occasions.
Prior to this, PVA was visibly pegged back in a more defensive role, still notching up the odd attacking return from set-pieces, but heat-maps show a noticeable difference in his position – spending much more time in his own half.
We entered the new season and Twitter was rife with talk of PVA being one of the first players in their squad (myself included), but it’s not really worked out for the Dutchman so far – why have we seen PVA revert back the more subdued role he played before his end of season glory?
In my opinion, the answer is Christian Benteke. The striker’s injury for the last six games of last season directly coincided with PVA’s attacking prowess – fast forward to the next season and Benteke is back – as are a distinct lack of PVA’s marauding runs down the left.
I have studied the heat-maps and the trend fits, and found that PVA is much more of an attacking threat without Benteke on the pitch.
With Benteke now injured and Zaha returning to Roy’s lineup, surely it’s time PVA came good – right?
James Maddison vs Bournemouth (A)
After Leicester City’s new signing Maddison made his debut vs. Manchester United during the opening game of the season, we all instantly added the former Norwich midfielder to our watch-lists – what sort of partnership could he form with Jamie Vardy when he returned to the line up the following week?
Well, unfortunately, we didn’t get much chance to find out after Vardy was awarded a red card and a three match suspension.
Maddison though continued to impress, pulling all the strings for Leicester as well as recording a goal and assist during his first four games for the Foxes.
This weekend, Vardy returns, and if Maddison continues his current form I am expecting these two to link up nicely – especially given the favourable fixtures Leicester have ahead of them.
In his last game alone, Maddison made three key passes and had five shots on goal – statistics I expect to improve with the pace of Vardy to stretch Bournemouth’s defensive line.
With set-pieces also in his armoury, he is a differential worth considering this weekend on Starting 11, as well as only being owned by 3.5% of managers on FPL at the time of writing.
Aaron Ramsey vs Newcastle (A)
Definitely a player us fantasy bosses love or hate – he scores when you don’t own him and blanks (or gets injured) when you do! Personally, I love him and will use any excuse I can to put him in my team.
A fixture vs Newcastle in Gameweek 5 will should matters, who despite looking like they were turning a corner against Manchester City, have still failed to secure their first win this season after the opening four games.
Arsenal, on the other hand, despite having a porous back-line, seem to have steadied the ship after two difficult opening fixtures and gone on to win their next two.
There are five player vying for that attacking quartet at Arsenal, meaning Unai Emery has to make the difficult decision and leave a key player out each week – Aaron Ramsey however have beaten off completion from Ozil and Mkhitaryan to make that number 10 position his own.
No attacking returns yet this season for Ramsey, but having made 6 key passes and taken 4 shots during his last two games, those returns are coming, in my opinion.
Is now the time to jump on-board with an FPL ownership at only 1.1% at the time of writing? And with plenty of other premium midfielders on offer this weekend, Ramsey could fly under the radar on Starting 11 too.
BEFORE YOU GO… From Gameweek 6 onwards, the Fantasy Football Pundits will have their own weekly mini-league on the daily fantasy football site, Starting 11.