FPL Opposition Defensive Ratings (ODR) Tracker – Gameweek’s 22 to 27

8:18am Jan 10 2020

A favourable run of fixtures for Bournemouth, Everton and Brighton could open the door to some well-needed FPL differentials over the next 5 Gameweeks.

[Article written and published by @FPL_vs]

Firstly, ODR stands for Opponents Defensive Rating and I got the inspiration from the Official Fantasy Premier League, who created FDR’s (Fixture Difficulty Rating) a few seasons ago.

ODR and FDR illustrate the same thing, but calling them FDR’s is very misleading in my opinion – but allow me to explain why.

Here’s an example: if Manchester City play Aston Villa at home, that would be an FDR1 – yet if Watford also play Villa at home, that fixture will also be an FDR1.

Make sense? No, not really, so simply calling them ODR’s instead, indicates the rating the teams opposition has of keeping a clean sheet, regardless of their opponents.

5 for the best vs 1 for the worst.

ODR - Gameweek 22 - FPLTips

My ODR’s explained

First of all, the furthermost columns in the tracker illustrates the ODR’s for each team that I have initially created from the amount of goals conceded last season and this season, both from a home and away perspective.

I plan on refreshing the ODR’s every 4-6 Gameweek’s so these will dynamically change across a full season.

NOTE: These ODR’s are built based on the opposition’s defensive stats (Clean Sheets and Goals Conceded) alone yet this may change when I develop them further.

The full table simply takes these ODR’s and drops them into the fixtures for a rolling 6 gameweek forecast.

I have then added two indicators from a 4GW and a 6GW view to demonstrate which teams have the toughest and more lenient fixtures.

There is a weighting applied of x2 to the stats from this season over those from last season. I have manually adjusted the colours of some of the teams where they have the same resulting ODR score.

These ODR’s are very basic but much more accurate and current than the Official FPL ratings in our opinion.

In Conclusion

I plan to amend this table at the end of each Gameweek and will post and pin the updated tracker as a pinned tweet on my twitter profile – @FPL_vs.

The ODR’s will next be re-calibrated after Gameweek 24.

If you have any questions, improvements or suggestions on how to make this better, I am all ears and very much welcome your feedback.

If you are not already, please follow me at @FPL_vs and feel free to continue to discussion.

BEFORE YOU GO… We have created a Last Man Standing survivor league which starts in Gameweek 22 – simply pick ONE Premier League to win, each week, and the last man standing wins the entire pot!

FFPundits League Rules

> Buy in – £5.00
> Lives – 1 (this means it’s sudden death)
> Starts: Gameweek 22 (10th January)
> Payout: Winner Takes All
> Our league code is: 026287
> You can download the app here: footballsurvivor.app.link/JRuAUijEo1

The Football Survivor game is available on both iOS and Android in the UK only you qualify to play, click the banner below to download the free app before join our FFPundits private league.

Thank you for reading ‘Fantasy Premier League Tips – FPL Opposition Defensive Ratings (ODR) Tracker – Gameweek’s 22 to 27’ which was written and produced by @FPL_vs