Manchester United duo top the FPL transfer market ahead of Gameweek 24
Posted by FFPundits
9:41am Jan 24 2019
Our friends at @FPLSecrets take a look at the three most transferred in players ahead of Gameweek 24, using data to provide their thoughts on these in-demand FPL assets
As of the 24th of January, Fantasy Premier League Managers have been transferring in Marcus Rashford, Paul Pogba and Leroy Sané in their droves, but should you do the same if you haven’t already?
When it comes to asset allocation for midfielders/forwards and considering potential transfers, we advocate the use of three key metrics to help inform your decisions. These are:
> Percentage of Gameweek Returns (i.e. how frequently do players provide a return)
> Minutes per Goal or Assist (i.e. how often do players score or assist)
> Minutes Played (i.e. rotation risk)
Clearly, there are a number of additional secondary considerations which should also be factored in.
Not least the eye-test – actually watching the player(s) on the pitch to see how they are performing out on the grass, but upcoming fixtures should also be taken into account.
Percentage of Gameweek Returns
So, how frequently do Rashford, Pogba and Sané provide an “FPL Return” (4 points or more in a single Gameweek) as a percentage of total Gameweeks played?
As you can see in the chart above, Sané has returned in 62% of his Gameweeks played, and Pogba and Rashford each have 50%.
Only three other midfielders have a higher percentage than Sané (Sterling 70%, Salah 65% and Hazard 64%) – demonstrating his consistency as an FPL asset.
Rashford has the 7th best percentage among Forwards, but it is important to note Rashford’s, and Pogba’s, well publicised improvement in form since the departure of Mourinho.
Minutes per Goal or Assist
Goals and assists are what really matter. How often do these three do the business?
No player (with 540+ mins played) this season scores or assists more often than Leroy Sané. Sané is directly involved in a goal, on average, every 69 minutes played, finding the back of the net 8 times and providing 11 assists.
Marcus Rashford is the second most frequent scorer/assister among forwards, with a direct goal involvement of once every 90 minutes played. He has 8 goals and 7 assists – only Sergio Aguero scores or assists more often.
Paul Pogba – the French midfielder has 8 goals and 8 assists this season, 10 of which have come since Ole Gunnar Solskjær took charge. That’s a direct goal involvement once every 105 minutes played. He’s on penalties too.
Are these players nailed on?
There’s not a huge amount of value in transferring in players who are rotation risks or who could potentially be dropped in upcoming fixtures, so let’s look at each of these players in turn.
Leroy Sané – £9.7m | 17.1% owned
Sané has played 1,309 minutes in the Premier League this season, featuring in 21 (15 starts, 6 sub appearances) of the 23 league matches played. Sané has started 10 of City’s last 11 Premier League fixtures.
He looks nailed on, but Fantasy Premier League Managers beware, as Benjamin Mendy is nearing a return to full fitness.
Historically, Pep goes with one or the other in his starting elevens an when Mendy was fit at the start of the season, Sané only started two matches alongside the French defender.
One to keep an eye on if Mendy breaks back into the City side.
Marcus Rashford – £7.7m | 38.6% owned
Rashford has played 1,346 minutes in the league this season, featuring in 20 matches and was a starter in 15.
More importantly, Rashford has played more league minutes than Romelu Lukaku this season and Solskjær has confirmed that Rashford is his first choice striker.
In the worst case scenario that Lukaku breaks back into the starting eleven, Rashford could retain his place in a wide position.
Paul Pogba – £8.7m | 39.8% owned
Aside from Nemanja Matic, Pogba has played more league minutes for United than any other Midfielder.
When looking at these three metrics – each of these players look like FPL “must-haves”. One spanner in the works to this could be the blank and double Gameweeks which are yet to be formally announced.
City are likely to have a blank Gameweek in GW27 which clashes with the EFL Cup final, while both United and City are at risk at blank Gameweeks in GW31 and GW33 depending on their FA Cup progress.
Forward planning and maintaining viable bench options will be important in mitigating these threats.
@FPLSecrets is a leading fantasy football statistics Twitter account that provides FPL players with the tools and insight they need for data enabled decision-making.
You can create your own free customisable graphs and charts by visiting www.FPLSecrets.co.uk on your laptop so be sure to check them out.